Thursday, June 9, 2016
SunEdison Bankruptcy
In April 2016, solar energy company SunEdison filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. Yesterday, the company won court approval
for a $1.3 billion operating loan, but in an indication of the
contentious nature of the bankruptcy, part of the loan is designated to
fund a creditor probe into the company's activities, particularly in
November. During that time, the company reconstituted the boards of two yieldcos,
fired the conflicts committees of those yieldcos, and named Sun
Edison's own CFO as the CEO of both yieldcos. A shareholder lawsuit in
the bankruptcy argues, in part, that the corporate governance was
insufficient as conflicts committees were reformed when the yieldcos
would not prepay for solar projects that were being developed in India.
PE Ratio Math
As we mentioned in the textbook, when you are examining ratios, it is
important to not only learn if a ratio has changed, but why it has
changed. A recent article
about the PE ratio highlights our discussion. Most people believe that
an increasing PE is due to an increasing stock price, but as with any
fraction, a change can also occur due to a change in the denominator.
Currently, the PE ratio of the S&P 500 is about 19, above the 5-year
and 10-year averages of about 16. As a result, many market analysts are
predicting a declining stock market. However, even with a falling PE
ratio, stock prices can still increase as long as earnings per share
increase at a faster rate than stock prices. While we are not predicting
the stock market, the article does note there are many periods in stock
market history that earnings growth exceeded stock price growth, PE
multiples declined, yet the bull market continued.
T-Mobile's Stock Giveaway
T-Mobile recently announced
that it would reward customer referrals with a share of the company's
stock. When a customer refers a friend who joins the company's network,
T-Mobile will credit the customer's account in the amount of the stock
price at the time, and for subsequent referrals, it will give the
customer a share of the company's stock. T-Mobile will not issue new
shares for the stock awards, but will purchase its shares on the open market. Of course, Uncle Sam will benefit as well. While the billing credit is not taxable, the shares of
stock awarded will have to be listed as taxable income by the
recipients. And when the stock is later sold, taxes will have to be paid
on any capital gains above the original price.
Wednesday, May 4, 2016
Regulation A+ Funding
The IPO market has slowed down in recent years. From 1980-1989 and
1990-1998, an average of 204 and 401 companies went public each year,
respectively. Compare that to the 2001-2015 period, when an average of
119 companies went public each year. Although there are various reasons
as to why the IPO market has slowed so dramatically, the end result is
that raising capital has become more difficult for small companies.
Regulation A+, part of the JOBS Act, allows companies to raise up to $50
million in a 12-month period under certain conditions. Importantly,
Regulation A+ allows companies to raise funds from non-accredited
investors. While there are several possible qualifications to be an
accredited investor, such as an income of over $200,000 per year, the
number of accredited investors is limited. Removing the accredited
investor restriction opens funding to a much larger number of potential
investors. As this article discusses, with a tight IPO market, we may soon see a surge in Regulation A funding.
Share Repurchases And Value Creation
A recent article
on the McKinsey & Company website discusses the effect of dividends
versus stock repurchases. We are happy to report that the article comes
to the same conclusion as the textbook: Repurchases do not necessarily
create value and are equivalent to paying a dividend of the same amount.
However, the article does bring out a couple of interesting points.
First, while repurchasing debt (re-leveraging the company) results in a
higher EPS, this is offset from the lower company risk due to less debt.
The value of the company is unchanged (M&M), and the PE ratio
should fall. Second, a more important point is that the
company should undertake profitable, positive NPV projects, if
available, rather than repurchase stock. In other words, a stock
repurchase is essentially a capital budgeting project. A company should
only repurchase its stock if the NPV from the repurchase is greater than
other capital budgeting projects. Of course, if the market is
efficient, the NPV from a stock repurchase is zero.
Tuesday, April 26, 2016
Rogue Trader Cat Bonds
In the textbook, we discussed cat bonds. Cat bonds, which are often
issued by insurers or reinsurers, have a trigger based on natural
catastrophes. Credit Suisse is taking the concept of a cat bond even
further. The company has approached investors
about a cat bond like issue that has a trigger that would cover
operational losses due to events such as rogue trading or cybercrime. A
major drawback is that quantifying the costs of cybercrime is a difficult process. If the Credit Suisse operational risk cat bond succeeds, we will likely see more of these bonds in the future.
Tuesday, April 19, 2016
Atlanta Braves (Stock) Sinks
The Atlanta Braves have the worst record in the National League so far
this year, and the tracking stock has mirrored the team's on field
performance. Liberty Media, the owner of the Braves, issued tracking
stock on Monday that tracks Liberty Media's Braves ownership. Tracking stock
is stock that is intended to track the performance of a particular unit
of the company. Tracking stock generally has no voting rights, but is
often used to track the performance of specific units of the company and
may occur ahead of a public offering. The Braves tracking stock was a
sinker ball as the stock dropped 40 percent on the first day of trading,
then about 10 percent the next day.
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