Dividends took a major hit during the early part of the COVID lockdown,
with numerous companies cutting or eliminating dividends. Now it appears
that dividends are making a comeback. In August, 13 S&P 500
companies announced dividend increases,
but only two companies announced a dividend cut. Remember, a company
will generally only increase dividends if it believes that it can
maintain that dividend in the future. Overall, this appears to be an
indication that these companies believe the worst of the economic crisis
may be over.
Friday, September 18, 2020
Dividend Comeback
Monday, September 14, 2020
Loyalty Backed Bonds
Delta announced that it would issue $6.5 billion worth of new bonds. What is particularly interesting is that the bonds will be backed by the company's SkyMiles loyalty program. Although Delta did not disclose the value of SkyMiles in the announcement, United Airlines issued debt in June backed by that company's MileagePlus program, which it valued at $20 billion.
Saturday, September 12, 2020
NPR Goes Junk
A recent podcast from Planet Money on NPR details the purchase of a junk bond issued by Hornbeck Offshore. Hopefully, the initial purchase was designed for the podcast, not as an investment. For example, the bond was purchased because it had the lowest price, which means the bond had the highest yield to maturity because it was likely the closest to bankruptcy. If you listen to the podcast, you will find out that the company did eventually go through a bankruptcy reorganization. One of the most perceptive comments made after the bond was initially purchased was that it would not likely make it to maturity. The podcast is worth a listen since it is an interesting journey of the purchase of a junk bond through the bankruptcy process.
Sunday, August 9, 2020
BMW's Operating Leverage
A recent Wall Street Journal article highlights the operating leverage for several auto manufacturers. For example, BMW lost €666 million ($784.1 million) during the most recent quarter. A large part of the loss was due to the company's operating leverage. BMW loses $.43 for every dollar of lost sales, which of course means that the company gains $.43 for every increased dollar of sales. By way of comparison, Fiat Chrysler's operating leverage is about 18%, GM's is about 20%, and Ford's is about 25%. As a result, we would expect BMW's earnings to be more volatile when compared to other auto companies.