As we discussed in the textbook, in general, there is no absolute number
that is best for a particular financial ratio. However, when the
economy is bad or uncertain, it is better if leverage ratios are more
conservative to help avoid financial distress. During the COVID
lockdowns, this is exactly what happened to the times interest earned (TIE)
ratio for most companies. The median TIE increased from 6.1X prior to
the pandemic to 8.6X during the pandemic. This was true even for below
investment grade companies, which showed an increase in the TIE from
2.8X to 4.1X. Given that the cost of borrowing is beginning to rise,
this bodes well for companies.
Monday, May 9, 2022
TIE Increases
Tuesday, May 3, 2022
SEC Sues Vale SA
In January 2019, the Brumadinho dam
in Brazil collapsed, sending a mudflow that killed 270 people. The dam
was built by Vale SA to hold tailings from a copper mine. Now, the SEC is suing Vale SA,
stating that the company made false claims about the safety of the dam,
obtained fraudulent stability certificates, and regularly misled
investors through its ESG statements. The SEC does not require that
companies file ESG statements,
but the Climate and ESG Task Force of the SEC is tasked with
identifying false or misleading claims. In other words, consistent with
its other directives, the SEC is concerned about the truthfulness of
statements and disclosures made by a company.
Monday, May 2, 2022
Rivian Lockup To Expire
Electric car company Rivian went public on November 9, 2021, which means its lockup, scheduled for 180 days after the IPO, is scheduled to expire next week. A lockup prohibits early investors and corporate insiders from trading the company's stock prior to the lockup expiration. In this case, Ford and Amazon are two early investors with large stakes in Rivian, but nether has indicated whether it will sell Rivian shares. A stock price can often drop significantly after the lockup as large shareholders attempt to sell shares. However, Rivian is down about 70 percent from its IPO price, so a price drop after the lockup may not happen. For example, Meta Platforms and Uber both saw price increases after the lockup. As the article states, the market is forward looking, so the potential price drop may already factored into the stock price.