Monday, February 25, 2019
Defaulting On Bond Covenants
Windstream Holdings, a rural telecom company, is expected to file for bankruptcy after the company recently lost a lawsuit
filed by Aurelius Capital. The lawsuit stems from Windstream's 2015
spinoff of the company's Uniti Group. Aurelius filed the lawsuit arguing
that the spinoff violated protective covenants in the company's bond
indentures. Windstream was forced to pay Aurelius $310 million. Since
the ruling legally means the company has defaulted in its debt, other
bondholders can now force immediate repayment on the bonds they hold.
Wednesday, February 20, 2019
China's Perpetual Bonds
In the textbook, we mentioned several perpetual bonds issues. In January, The People's Bank of China joined the fold when it issued $5.9 billion
of perpetual bonds with a yield of 4.5 percent. Other Chinese
commercial banks appear to be ready to issue perpetual bonds as well.
The slowing economy and rising defaults are forcing Chinese banks to
recapitalize balance sheets. The Chinese government is also easing
policies that will allow primary dealers to exchange the perpetual bonds
for central bank bills. This will increase the liquidity of the
perpetual bonds.
Thursday, February 14, 2019
Airbus Abandons The A380
In an option to abandon, Airbus announced
that it would discontinue delivery of the A380 in 2021. The giant plane
first flew 14 years ago. Airbus spent about $25 billion in developing
the 853 passenger plane, but has only delivered 234 planes to date, well
short of the 1,200 the company had projected. The demise of the plane
is in large part due to the decision by airlines to fly lighter, more
fuel efficient planes that reduced the need to fly a large number of
passengers to hub airports. Boeing still manufactures its own jumbo jet,
the 747, but delivered only six 747s in 2018. Of course, Boeing may get
a pick up in orders for the 747 without competition from Airbus in the
jumbo jet market.
Trading Royalties
If you are interested in an entertaining evening with Finance, we would
recommend you curl up on the couch with popcorn and watch the classic
movie Trading Places. And now you can own a piece of this movie as the royalties from the movie
are up for sale. The producer died in 2007 and the current owner of the
royalties is selling the future royalty stream. Last year, royalties
from the movie generated $7,988. The current bid is $74,700. Royalties
generally extend 70 years past death, so there are 58 years left.
Assuming the royalty payments stay constant, see if you don't agree that
the buyer will earn a 10.66 percent rate of return.
Wednesday, February 13, 2019
Stock buybacks have been in the news recently as Bernie Sanders and Chuck Schumer proposed
that a company should only be allowed to buy back its own stock if
certain conditions were met, such as an employee wage of $15 per hour.
And today, Marco Rubio announced
he would propose a tax on buybacks that would be similar to the tax on
dividends for investors. Of course, as these suggestions have come from
politicians, they may have a misunderstanding about stock repurchases. A
recent CNBC video discusses some of these misconceptions.
AT&T Bond Sale
AT&T announced that it was issuing $5 billion in senior unsecured bonds to be used to repay maturing debt. The bonds will carry a BBB rating.
AT&T plans to pay off up to $20 billion in debt this year, which has
made investors happy as the company's total debt has reached $180
billion in recent years. In an interesting tidbit, the article notes
that one-half of the $5 trillion corporate bond market carries a BBB
rating. This is due in large part to the recent historic low interest
rates and low default-risk premiums. Companies have been willing to
sacrifice a high credit rating since the cost, carried in a higher YTM,
has been low in recent years. Only two U.S. non-financial companies,
Microsoft and Johnson & Johnson currently have a AAA credit rating.
Monday, February 11, 2019
What Is Green?
Environmental, social, and governance (ESG)
investing has become popular in recent years as investors have become
interested in social concerns. And although ESG investing often relates
to stocks, green bonds have also become more prevalent. Green bonds are intended to support
sustainability and climate-related projects such as wind turbines or
solar panels. Generally, these bonds are approved as green bonds by an
outside agency such as the International Capital Markets Association. So
what exactly is green? As a recent Verizon green bond
issue shows, the definition can be somewhat murky. Verizon's $1 billion
bond issue was classified as a green bond, with any green investments
from 2017 to 2029 counting toward the target. What is interesting is
that Verizon can count deployment of 5G technology and/or legacy network
technology replacement toward green investing. Obviously, Verizon was
planning on the 5G upgrade, but now it is a green upgrade.
Thursday, February 7, 2019
Puerto Rico’s Bankruptcy
Bond covenants are generally inviolable, but bankruptcy can
change that. Recently, Puerto Rico’s bankruptcy allowed the country to restructure
sales-tax backed bonds. Owners of these bonds will receive 93 cents
on the dollar, more than the bonds were recently trading for, but will give up
half of the promised sales tax that was backing the bonds. This is better than
Detroit’s general tax obligation bonds, who only received 75 cents on the
dollar. However, other holders of debt of Puerto Rican debt received much lower
payouts, an indication of the priority of claims in a municipal bankruptcy.
Dumb Money
A common belief among professional Wall Street traders is
that dumb money, better known as retail investors, will flock to the market
when stock prices are rising, then get out of the market after the stock has fallen.
This sort of trading strategy will create a lot of losses, hence the term dumb
money. During the stock market downturn in December, professional investors had
a very low level of sentiment toward the market and left the stock market. And
dumb investors poured
$22 billion into passive index funds, reaping the reward from the
recent market upturn. One possibility is that retail investors have become believers in efficient markets, resulting in
the money flowing into index funds, or at least they have been conditioned to
understand that a market downturn can mean that stocks are on sale.
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